Travel Deal Tuesday 2018: The Best Day To Shop For Flights Returns - Hopper Research

Travel Deal Tuesday 2018: The Best Day To Shop For Flights Returns

Patrick
By Patrick Surry
Posted Nov 21, 2018

UPDATED: NOVEMBER 21, 2018

Want to travel somewhere in the next year? Mark your calendar! The best day to score a flight deal, Travel Deal Tuesday, is returning November 27.

Summary

  • If you're hoping to score a travel bargain in the post-Thanksgiving sales, the best time to shop isn't on Black Friday or Cyber Monday. You're most likely to find a flight deal on Travel Deal Tuesday.
  • We analyzed historical flight pricing data and found that fare sale activity significantly spikes on the Tuesday after Thanksgiving.
  • Last year, we sent more deal notifications on Travel Deal Tuesday than Black Friday and Cyber Monday combined. In 2016, we saw fare sale activity spike by 2X the normal volume.
  • The airlines offer major discounts because travel demand tends to die down following Thanksgiving. Most travelers have already booked their holiday airfare, but haven't started planning their winter getaways yet.
  • Instead of searching throughout the day, the easiest way to score a deal is to download the Hopper app and check out the Travel Deal Tuesday Deal Finder on the app's search screen. You can browse all the deals and set up alerts for destinations or regions you're interested in. Hopper will monitor deals 24/7 and alert you when there's a breaking fare sale.


Travel Deal Tuesday

Hopper collects 10 to 15 billion airfare price quotes every day and has built a huge historical archive of trillions of prices from over the past several years. The company analyzed its historical flight pricing data and found that the Tuesday following Thanksgiving has consistently offered the most significant volume of fare sales that week.


Travel Deal Tuesday Airline Preview

  • Hawaiian Airlines will be offering promotional fares on non-stop flights to Australia, South Korea, New Zealand, and Japan, with one-way fares from Honolulu to Sapporo Japan starting from $299 per person.
  • Cathay Pacific (cathaypacific.com) will be offering promotional fares from the US, including new gateways Seattle and DC, to destinations in Asia such as Hong Kong, Beijing, and Shanghai as well as destinations in Australia and New Zealand.
  • Icelandair (icelandair.com) will be offering promotional fares to Reykjavík–Keflavík Airport.
  • Philippine Airlines (philippineairlines.com) will be offering promotional fares to destinations such as Manila, Tokyo, Singapore, Bangkok, and Seoul
  • South African Airways (flysaa.com) will be offering their lowest fares of the year, to destinations such as Johannesburg, Cape Town, Accra, and Dakar.
  • Avianca (avianca.com) will be offering promotional fares to destinations such as Colombia, Brazil, Peru, Ecuador, Guatemala and Costa Rica.
  • Qatar Airways (qatarairways.com) will be offering promotional fares to destinations such as Bangkok, Bali, Ho Chi Minh (Saigon), Da Nang, and Seychelles.


Last year alone, Hopper saw more flights discounted on Travel Deal Tuesday than Black Friday and Cyber Monday combined. The company detected deals on 20% of all domestic and international routes. A few of the best deals from last year included flights to:

  • Lima, Peru with a $310 average savings
  • Zurich, Switzerland with a $260 average savings
  • Auckland, New Zealand with a $250 average savings
  • Dubai, United Arab Emirates with a $210 average savings
  • Hong Kong, China with a $200 average savings

This year, Hopper is forecasting deals to bucket list destinations like London (41% off), Paris (32% off), Barcelona (36% off), Hong Kong (32% off), and Turks & Caicos (42%), among many others.



Figure 1: Deal Notifications on Travel Deal Tuesday

The Hopper app analyzes billions of daily flight prices and sends users a push notification when it detects a great deal. Last year on Travel Deal Tuesday, there was a surge in fare sale activity which resulted in Hopper sending 43% more deal notifications than average. In fact, it sent over 1 million deal notifications to users on that day alone. This year, we expect to see incredible deals to both domestic and international destinations, with savings up to 40% on bucket list locations like Sydney, Tokyo, and Paris.


The Best Ways to Shop on Travel Deal Tuesday

Airlines such as Icelandair, Cathay Pacific, South African Airways, and Philippine Airlines have already confirmed they'll be participating in Travel Deal Tuesday this year. Additional providers and routes will be announced leading up to the date.

If you're hoping to score a flight bargain, you can visit your favorite airline's website or download the Hopper app. If you're flexible, Hopper's search screen will feature a special Travel Deal Tuesday Deal Finder where you can browse all the deals and set up alerts for destinations or regions you're interested in.

Hopper detects fare sales and alerts users in real-time. Fare sale activity begins ramping up around 6:30 a.m. ET and peaks around 9:30 a.m. ET. However, the fare sales continue throughout the day, which is why the best strategy is to delegate tracking to a price monitoring tool like Hopper.


Fare Sale Destinations

Hopper predicts future flight prices with 95% accuracy. Here some fare sales we're predicting will be available. These are US average deal prices, so make sure you set up a watch in the Hopper app to get alerted when prices to these destinations drop for your city.

Table 1: Predicted Domestic Deals from US origins

Table 2: Predicted Domestic Deals from US origins

Win A Free Flight!

In addition to monitoring flight deals, Hopper is also celebrating Travel Deal Tuesday by giving away a dream flight to one lucky winner and a friend every Tuesday in November. To be considered for a chance to win, download the Hopper app and take a screenshot of a flight you want to take in the next year. Post it to your Instagram Story or Facebook and tag @hopper, the friend you want to go with you, and #traveldealtuesday. No purchase necessary. Read the terms here. You may just be one of the lucky winners!