Lowest Fall Airfare in at Least Four Years on the Way - Hopper Blog

Lowest Fall Airfare in at Least Four Years on the Way

Hopper projects that domestic airfare will be cheaper this fall. Find out why!

Dara
By Dara Continenza
Posted Jul 7, 2015

Finally, good news for travelers! According to Hopper's latest Consumer Airfare Index, airfare is about to get a whole lot cheaper. Scroll down to find out how much you'll be saving this fall (and why we're seeing this awesome price drop).


Last week, we unveiled our new Consumer Airfare Index today, which evaluates and forecasts domestic airfares for leisure travelers. In it, we project that domestic airfare will be cheaper this fall (September through November). In fact, the average airfare will be $248, a 3.6 percent decrease from last fall and a 8.1 percent decrease from fall of 2013!

Hopper's Consumer Airfare Index utilizes billions of individual pieces of flight search data to measure what a typical traveler should reasonably expect to pay now and forecasts future price changes several months in advance.

This latest report indicates:

  • Domestic airfare will decline 12.5% by December, down to $241
  • Fall prices are projected to remain almost 4% below last year's levels
  • Ticket prices peaked in June at $276, in line with our spring predictions of $278
  • But year-over-year, June prices were down 7.1% compared to 2014

"This fall is shaping up as a great time to book air travel. Lower fuel prices and increased competition from the low-cost carriers look set to drive prices lower than we've seen since we started tracking consumer airfare almost four years ago," said Patrick Surry, Hopper's chief data scientist. "Combined with the Hopper app, which has already saved users a total of $4.5 million by recommending the best times to fly and buy, travelers can look forward to some great savings this fall."

So it looks like low fuel prices are finally passing along (small) savings to consumers. Additionally, low-cost carriers are helping to bring airfares down, with increased service from Norwegian Air Shuttle, Icelandair, JetBlue, and more.

Looking forward to the rest of 2015, we anticipate that our Consumer Airfare Index will decline sharply through the rest of the summer and then stabilize through the fall and early winter. Since this summer was cheaper than last summer, we expect prices to remain lower than last year through the remainder of this year and returning closer to normal by the end of the year.

Here is the trend we're seeing in one handy map:

And here's what the rest of the year will look like (look at December!):

Month

Price Forecast

Change from Preceding Month

July 2015

$259

-6.27%

August 2015

$245

-5.29%

September 2015

$250

1.99%

October 2015

$245

-1.70%

November 2015

$250

1.66%

December 2015

$241

-3.32%

Comments